- US stock futures point to a strong start on Wall Street later, after a raft of positive economic data and signs of progress towards a stimulus deal in Washington.
- European and Asian indices, along with gold, silver and emerging market currencies benefit from an improvement in risk appetite.
- “The big kicker here is that as house prices are buoyed, consumers feel wealthier and they’ll be more prone to spend elevated savings levels; it’s super for the economy and provides a considerable growth impulse,” AxiTrader chief strategist Stephen Innes said.
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Global stock indices rose on Thursday, taking their lead from a rally on Wall Street, when shares were encouraged by a pickup in employment and housing, and signs of progress on a deal over government stimulus, which in turn dented the dollar, but lifted commodities.
US stock futures rose between 0.8-1.00%, suggesting a strong start to trade on the major indices later in the day.
In an interview on Fox Business, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin reiterated the Trump government’s opposition to the $2.2 trillion economic aid plan that Democrats are pushing, but said there had been an agreement with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that any economic relief package would include federal checks for individuals.
Democrats pushed a vote on their plan by a day to Thursday to allow more time for bipartisan agreement.
The two sides are still some way apart, but with investor nervousness rising over a possibly messy presidential election result next month, any sign that a compromise might happen has been enough to encourage some bargain-hunting in the financial markets.
“Signs of upcoming fiscal relief in the world’s largest economy is boosting risk appetite and the risk on trade, supporting stocks as reflected by rising equity markets and US futures and demand for riskier currencies,” CityIndex market analyst Fiona Cincotta said.
European stocks opened broadly in positive territory, following a modestly upbeat session in Asia, with Sydney’s S&P/ASX 20 up 0.8% and the KOSPI up 0.8%. The Tokyo Stock Exchange had to halt trading after a technical hitch, while Chinese and Hong Kong markets were closed for public holidays.
In Europe, the Stoxx 600 gained rose 0.7% on the day, led by gains in banks, technology companies and basic resource stocks. Leading the charge were HSBC, which rose 1.0%, Commerzbank, which gained 0.9% and Intesa San Paolo, which rallied by 0.8%.
A raft of US data on Wednesday showed a bigger pickup in the number of workers added to private-sector payrolls than had been expected, while a separate report showed manufacturing activity in the auto-intensive Midwest also beat forecasts. A third data release showed pending home sales hit a record high in August, boosting confidence in the resilience of the economic recovery.
“The big kicker here is that as house prices are buoyed, consumers feel wealthier and they’ll be more prone to spend elevated savings levels; it’s super for the economy and provides a considerable growth impulse,” AxiTrader chief strategist Stephen Innes said.
With “risk-on” mood in the ascendant, commodities rallied sharply, with platinum up 0.3% and silver up nearly 1% on the day. Gold, which tends to trade in the opposite direction to the dollar and gain when risk appetite is low, rose by 0.25% to $1,900 an ounce.
Gold lost more than 4% last month, making September its largest one-month drop since US president Donald Trump won the election in November 2016.
The $1,900-an-ounce level could prove critical for gold, particularly if the dollar picks up, Craig Erlam, a strategist at Oanda said.
“This is where the real test will come. The dollar testing previous highs from above and gold testing prior major support from below. A break through $1,900 would undoubtedly give gold bulls hope but I’m not convinced. I think there may be a little more to go,” Erlam said.
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